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La Liga · Round 3 · 2026/27

Levante UD vs Real Betis Prediction

· Ciudad de Valencia · Levante UD predictions · Real Betis predictions

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 3 · 2/4 checks hit
LLevante UD crest

Levante UD

5–2

Levante UD won

RBReal Betis crest

Real Betis

1X2

Real Betis win

39%Miss

Verdict

Balanced

Modal 1-1 · score miss

1X2 favourite
Miss

Predicted Real Betis win · 39%

Actual Levante UD won

Modal score
Miss

Predicted 1-1

Actual 5–2

Over 2.5
Hit

Predicted Over

Actual Over · 7 goals

BTTS
Hit

Predicted Yes

Actual Yes

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

LLevante UD crestLevante UDvsRBReal Betis crestReal Betis

Win probabilities

Balanced

Real Betis win 39%

Levante UD win
36%
Draw
26%
Real Betis win
39%
Levante UD win %
36%

Result

Draw %
26%
Real Betis win %
39%

Predicted

Why this forecast

  1. 1Balanced: Real Betis win 39%, from a -139 Elo gap (1454 vs 1594).
  2. 2Expected goals 1.43-1.50.
  3. 3Modal score 1-1 at 12%, the highest cell in the grid.
  4. 4Aitor Ruibal listed out and 3 other absences.
Elo

1454 -139 1594

Levante UD vs Real Betis

La Liga table
Out
  • Aitor Ruibal · Real Betis
  • Diego Conde · Real Betis
XI

Predicted XI

4-3-3 / 4-2-3-1

Last 5

Levante UDD L L W W1.61-1.25 xG

Real BetisW W W L W1.26-1.31 xG

Modal score

1-1

Highest cell in the score grid · 12% · Miss

Verdict

Balanced

Real Betis win · 39% · Miss

Expected goals

1.43–1.50

Model λ for home and away

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Levante UD versus Real Betis
Levante UD goals012345
06%7%6%3%
17%12%9%4%
25%8%6%3%
33%4%3%
4
50%

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %
56%

Over · 7 goals · Hit

BTTS %
60%

Yes · Hit

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Top scorelines

  1. 1-1Modal12.0%
  2. 1-28.6%
  3. 2-18.2%
  4. 0-17.5%
  5. 1-07.1%

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

LLevante UD crestLevante UD

No listed absences.

RBReal Betis crestReal Betis

Out

  • Aitor Ruibal · D · Meniscus Injury
  • Diego Conde · G · Shoulder Injury
  • Giovani Lo Celso · M · Muscle Injury
  • Gonzalo Petit · F · Thigh Injury

Starting XI

Predicted XI

Listed as the expected eleven; not confirmed yet.

LLevante UD crestLevante UD4-3-3

  1. 13Mathew RyanG
  2. 2Aïssa MandiD
  3. 4Adrián de la FuenteD
  4. 23Manuel SánchezD
  5. 29Nacho PérezD
  6. 7Roger BruguéM
  7. 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
  8. 18Enzo BardeliM
  9. 20Oriol ReyM
  10. 24Thiago FernándezM
  11. 9Iván RomeroF

RBReal Betis crestReal Betis4-2-3-1

  1. 1Álvaro VallesG
  2. 2Héctor BellerínD
  3. 4NatanD
  4. 5Marc BartraD
  5. 11Fran GarcíaD
  6. 6Facundo BernalM
  7. 7AntonyM
  8. 8Pablo FornalsM
  9. 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
  10. 21Marc RocaM
  11. 9Cucho HernándezF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

LLevante UD crestLevante UDD L L W W

  • A · Osasuna · 24 Aug 20260-01.31-0.67 xG
  • A · Espanyol · 16 Aug 20260-30.28-1.55 xG
  • A · Real Betis · 23 May 20261-22.53-1.57 xG
  • H · Mallorca · 17 May 20262-02.39-0.30 xG
  • A · Celta Vigo · 12 May 20263-21.52-2.18 xG

RBReal Betis crestReal BetisW W W L W

  • A · Valencia · 25 Aug 20261-00.71-1.12 xG
  • H · Real Sociedad · 21 Aug 20261-01.24-1.36 xG
  • H · Levante UD · 23 May 20262-11.57-2.53 xG
  • A · FC Barcelona · 17 May 20261-30.97-1.12 xG
  • H · Elche · 12 May 20262-11.80-0.40 xG

How to read the Levante UD vs Real Betis probabilities

Levante UD vs Real Betis (La Liga, 29 Aug 2026): Balanced — Real Betis win 39%. Expected goals are 1.43–1.50. Modal score 1-1 (12%). The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Final score: 5–2.

Levante UD and Real Betis are close on expected goals (1.43–1.50), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The modal score 1-1 carries 12%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 sits at 56%, so the model expects an open game more often than not. Both-teams-to-score is 60%.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
28 Aug 2026, 18:40 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
la-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict
Balanced · Real Betis win
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug, 16:00 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about Levante UD vs Real Betis

Who is favourite for Levante UD vs Real Betis?

The verdict is Balanced. Highest 1X2 is Real Betis win at 39%. Home 36%, draw 26%, away 39%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Levante UD vs Real Betis?

1-1 is the modal scoreline at 12% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Levante UD vs Real Betis go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 56% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Levante UD vs Real Betis?

BTTS is 60%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.

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