CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsEA
CF Estrela Amadora crestCF Estrela AmadoraSlight lean
CD Nacional win49%
- Nacional
- 49%
- Draw
- 30%
- Amadora
- 21%
- xG home
- 1.55
- xG away
- 0.95
- Over 2.5
- 46%
- BTTS
- 51%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pagePortugal · v1.1.0-p1-elo
Liga Portugal predictions
Match-by-match Liga Portugal forecasts from a Dixon-Coles goals model with Elo features. Every published number is stored before kick-off.
11 upcoming Liga Portugal forecasts in the ledger, covering rounds 4 and 5. Looking for Liga Portugal predictions today? See today’s fixtures · Liga Portugal Elo table. Historical forecasts stay on this hub so every published number remains crawlable.
Académico Viseu FCBenficaCasa PiaCD NacionalCF Estrela AmadoraCS MarítimoEstoril PraiaFamalicãoFC AlvercaFC AroucaFC PortoGil VicenteMoreirenseRio AveSanta ClaraSporting BragaSporting CPVitória SC
Upcoming
Round 45 matches
CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsEACF Estrela Amadora crestCF Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia crestCasa PiavsM
Moreirense crestMoreirenseBalanced
Casa Pia win34%
- Pia
- 34%
- Draw
- 33%
- Moreirense
- 34%
- xG home
- 1.16
- xG away
- 1.16
- Over 2.5
- 41%
- BTTS
- 49%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
Famalicão crestFamalicãovsGV
Gil Vicente crestGil VicenteSlight lean
Famalicão win46%
- Famalicão
- 46%
- Draw
- 30%
- Vicente
- 24%
- xG home
- 1.50
- xG away
- 1.02
- Over 2.5
- 46%
- BTTS
- 52%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
Sporting Braga crestSporting BragavsV
Vitória SC crestVitória SCSlight lean
Sporting Braga win39%
- Braga
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- SC
- 30%
- xG home
- 1.38
- xG away
- 1.17
- Over 2.5
- 47%
- BTTS
- 54%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
Benfica crestBenficavsEP
Estoril Praia crestEstoril PraiaStrong favourite
Benfica win86%
Open game
- Benfica
- 86%
- Draw
- 11%
- Praia
- 3%
- xG home
- 3.18
- xG away
- 0.58
- Over 2.5
- 73%
- BTTS
- 43%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageRound 56 matches
FC Porto crestFC PortovsMMoreirense crestMoreirenseStrong favourite
FC Porto win85%
Open game
- Porto
- 85%
- Draw
- 12%
- Moreirense
- 3%
- xG home
- 2.90
- xG away
- 0.52
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- BTTS
- 39%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageEstoril Praia crestEstoril PraiavsA
FC Arouca crestFC AroucaSlight lean
Estoril Praia win38%
- Praia
- 38%
- Draw
- 32%
- Arouca
- 30%
- xG home
- 1.28
- xG away
- 1.14
- Over 2.5
- 44%
- BTTS
- 51%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageCF Estrela Amadora crestCF Estrela AmadoravsFFamalicão crestFamalicãoSlight lean
Famalicão win43%
- Amadora
- 26%
- Draw
- 32%
- Famalicão
- 43%
- xG home
- 1.02
- xG away
- 1.37
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 50%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
FC Alverca crestFC AlvercavsSBSporting Braga crestSporting BragaSlight lean
Sporting Braga win44%
- Alverca
- 25%
- Draw
- 31%
- Braga
- 44%
- xG home
- 1.02
- xG away
- 1.42
- Over 2.5
- 44%
- BTTS
- 51%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
CS Marítimo crestCS MarítimovsBBenfica crestBenficaStrong favourite
Benfica win71%
Open game
- Marítimo
- 10%
- Draw
- 20%
- Benfica
- 71%
- xG home
- 0.81
- xG away
- 2.36
- Over 2.5
- 61%
- BTTS
- 51%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsNCD Nacional crestCD NacionalStrong favourite
Sporting CP win75%
- CP
- 75%
- Draw
- 18%
- Nacional
- 7%
- xG home
- 2.43
- xG away
- 0.66
- Over 2.5
- 60%
- BTTS
- 46%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageResult pending
Kick-off has passed and the score has not been ingested yet. Forecasts stay frozen; these matches are not listed as upcoming.
Round 21 match
Result pending
SBSporting Braga crestSporting BragavsGVGil Vicente crestGil VicenteSlight lean
Sporting Braga win51%
- Braga
- 51%
- Draw
- 29%
- Vicente
- 21%
- xG home
- 1.64
- xG away
- 0.99
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 53%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageHistorical predictions
Académico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FCvsPFC Porto crestFC PortoFinal 0–3·FC Porto win 73%
Hit- FC
- 8%
- Draw
- 19%
- Porto
- 73%
- xG home
- 0.69
- xG away
- 2.33
- Over 2.5
- 58%
- BTTS
- 46%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageFC Alverca crestFC AlvercavsSC
Santa Clara crestSanta ClaraFinal 1–1·Santa Clara win 37%
Miss- Alverca
- 31%
- Draw
- 32%
- Clara
- 37%
- xG home
- 1.17
- xG away
- 1.29
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 52%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageFC Arouca crestFC AroucavsCMCS Marítimo crestCS MarítimoFinal 2–1·FC Arouca win 43%
Hit- Arouca
- 43%
- Draw
- 30%
- Marítimo
- 27%
- xG home
- 1.48
- xG away
- 1.14
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- BTTS
- 55%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match page
Rio Ave crestRio AvevsSCSporting CP crestSporting CPFinal 0–4·Sporting CP win 64%
Hit- Ave
- 12%
- Draw
- 23%
- CP
- 64%
- xG home
- 0.81
- xG away
- 2.04
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 50%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageGil Vicente crestGil VicentevsCPCasa Pia crestCasa PiaFinal 2–0·Gil Vicente win 48%
Hit- Vicente
- 48%
- Draw
- 30%
- Pia
- 22%
- xG home
- 1.51
- xG away
- 0.96
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 50%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageFC Porto crestFC PortovsAFC Arouca crestFC AroucaFinal 2–0·FC Porto win 67%
Hit- Porto
- 67%
- Draw
- 22%
- Arouca
- 10%
- xG home
- 2.10
- xG away
- 0.73
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 47%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageSanta Clara crestSanta ClaravsFFamalicão crestFamalicãoFinal 1–0·Famalicão win 35%
Miss- Clara
- 33%
- Draw
- 32%
- Famalicão
- 35%
- xG home
- 1.19
- xG away
- 1.21
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 51%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageVitória SC crestVitória SCvsNCD Nacional crestCD NacionalFinal 1–0·Vitória SC win 54%
Hit- SC
- 54%
- Draw
- 22%
- Nacional
- 24%
- xG home
- 2.31
- xG away
- 1.53
- Over 2.5
- 74%
- BTTS
- 72%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageSporting CP crestSporting CPvsAFC Alverca crestFC AlvercaFinal 3–1·Sporting CP win 84%
Hit- CP
- 84%
- Draw
- 12%
- Alverca
- 4%
- xG home
- 2.98
- xG away
- 0.61
- Over 2.5
- 69%
- BTTS
- 44%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageEstoril Praia crestEstoril PraiavsRARio Ave crestRio AveFinal 0–2·Estoril Praia win 42%
Miss- Praia
- 42%
- Draw
- 31%
- Ave
- 27%
- xG home
- 1.40
- xG away
- 1.08
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 52%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageCS Marítimo crestCS MarítimovsAVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FCFinal 2–2·CS Marítimo win 53%
Miss- Marítimo
- 53%
- Draw
- 29%
- FC
- 18%
- xG home
- 1.65
- xG away
- 0.89
- Over 2.5
- 47%
- BTTS
- 50%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageCasa Pia crestCasa PiavsBBenfica crestBenficaFinal 0–7·Benfica win 73%
Hit- Pia
- 8%
- Draw
- 19%
- Benfica
- 73%
- xG home
- 0.67
- xG away
- 2.30
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 46%
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Match pageLiga Portugal prediction questions
Where can I find Liga Portugal predictions today?
Upcoming Liga Portugal fixtures are listed first on this hub, with a dedicated today view at /football-predictions/today. Each match has its own URL with xG, 1X2, Over 2.5 and BTTS.
How does Expected90 predict Liga Portugal matches?
Liga Portugal forecasts use expected goals as Poisson means, a Dixon-Coles adjustment for low scores, and Elo team strength. Home/draw/away, Over 2.5 and BTTS are summed from one score grid.
Are Liga Portugal predictions betting tips?
No. These are probabilities, timestamped before kick-off. Misses stay on the page. There is no odds CTA.
Can I check yesterday’s Liga Portugal prediction?
Yes. Historical forecasts remain on this hub and on each match URL, with the original probabilities and the final score.