Skip to main content
E90

La Liga · Round 2 · 2026/27

Osasuna vs Levante UD Prediction

· Estadio El Sadar · Osasuna predictions · Levante UD predictions

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 2 · 1/4 checks hit
OOsasuna crest

Osasuna

0–0

Draw

LLevante UD crest

Levante UD

1X2

Osasuna win

44%Miss

Verdict

Slight lean

Modal 1-1 · score miss

1X2 favourite
Miss

Predicted Osasuna win · 44%

Actual Draw

Modal score
Miss

Predicted 1-1

Actual 0–0

Over 2.5
Hit

Predicted Under

Actual Under · 0 goals

BTTS
Miss

Predicted Yes

Actual No

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

OOsasuna crestOsasunavsLLevante UD crestLevante UD

Win probabilities

Slight lean

Osasuna win 44%

Osasuna win
44%
Draw
27%
Levante UD win
29%
Osasuna win %
44%

Predicted

Draw %
27%

Result

Levante UD win %
29%

Why this forecast

  1. 1Slight lean: Osasuna win 44%, from a +12 Elo gap (1471 vs 1459).
  2. 2Expected goals 1.41-1.10.
  3. 3Modal score 1-1 at 13%, the highest cell in the grid.
Elo

1471 +12 1459

Osasuna vs Levante UD

La Liga table
Out

None listed

XI

Confirmed

4-4-2 / 4-1-4-1

Last 5

OsasunaL L L L L1.19-1.38 xG

Levante UDL W W W L2.04-1.41 xG

Modal score

1-1

Highest cell in the score grid · 13% · Miss

Verdict

Slight lean

Osasuna win · 44% · Miss

Expected goals

1.41–1.10

Model λ for home and away

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Osasuna versus Levante UD
Osasuna goals012345
08%9%5%
112%13%7%3%
28%9%5%
34%4%2%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %
46%

Under · 0 goals · Hit

BTTS %
50%

No · Miss

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Top scorelines

  1. 1-1Modal12.6%
  2. 1-011.6%
  3. 0-19.0%
  4. 2-18.9%
  5. 0-0Result8.2%

Starting XI

Confirmed

SofaScore has confirmed both starting elevens.

OOsasuna crestOsasuna4-4-2

  1. 1Sergio HerreraG
  2. 5Jorge HerrandoD
  3. 23Abel BretonesD
  4. 24Alejandro CatenaD
  5. 27Iñigo ArguibideD
  6. 7Jon MoncayolaM
  7. 8Iker MuñozM
  8. 14Rubén GarcíaM
  9. 16Moi GómezM
  10. 10Aimar OrozF
  11. 17Ante BudimirF

LLevante UD crestLevante UD4-1-4-1

  1. 13Mathew RyanG
  2. 2Aïssa MandiD
  3. 4Adrián de la FuenteD
  4. 23Manuel SánchezD
  5. 29Nacho PérezD
  6. 7Roger BruguéM
  7. 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
  8. 18Enzo BardeliM
  9. 20Oriol ReyM
  10. 24Thiago FernándezM
  11. 9Iván RomeroF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

OOsasuna crestOsasunaL L L L L

  • A · Getafe · 23 May 20260-10.51-0.27 xG
  • H · Espanyol · 17 May 20261-21.72-0.79 xG
  • H · Atlético Madrid · 12 May 20261-22.30-1.56 xG
  • A · Levante UD · 8 May 20262-30.63-2.99 xG
  • H · FC Barcelona · 2 May 20261-20.80-1.29 xG

LLevante UD crestLevante UDL W W W L

  • A · Real Betis · 23 May 20261-22.53-1.57 xG
  • H · Mallorca · 17 May 20262-02.39-0.30 xG
  • A · Celta Vigo · 12 May 20263-21.52-2.18 xG
  • H · Osasuna · 8 May 20263-22.99-0.63 xG
  • A · Villarreal · 2 May 20261-50.76-2.36 xG

How to read the Osasuna vs Levante UD probabilities

Osasuna vs Levante UD (La Liga, 24 Aug 2026): Slight lean — Osasuna win 44%. Expected goals are 1.41–1.10. Modal score 1-1 (13%). The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Final score: 0–0.

Osasuna holds a modest expected-goals edge (1.41–1.10). That shows up as Osasuna win at 44%, not a lock.

The modal score 1-1 carries 13%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 is 46% — close to a coin flip from this score matrix. BTTS is 50%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
15 Aug 2026, 14:06 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
la-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict
Slight lean · Osasuna win
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug, 18:30 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about Osasuna vs Levante UD

Who is favourite for Osasuna vs Levante UD?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Osasuna win at 44%. Home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Osasuna vs Levante UD?

1-1 is the modal scoreline at 13% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Osasuna vs Levante UD go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 46% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Osasuna vs Levante UD?

BTTS is 50%. The grid leans toward both teams scoring.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.

Related predictions

All La Liga predictions