Skip to main content
E90

Liga Portugal · Round 1 · 2026/27

Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC Prediction

· Estádio da Luz · Benfica predictions · Académico Viseu FC predictions

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 1 · 1/4 checks hit
BBenfica crest

Benfica

2–2

Draw

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crest

Académico Viseu FC

1X2

Benfica win

79%Miss

Verdict

Strong favourite

Modal 2-0 · score miss

1X2 favourite
Miss

Predicted Benfica win · 79%

Actual Draw

Modal score
Miss

Predicted 2-0

Actual 2–2

Over 2.5
Hit

Predicted Over

Actual Over · 4 goals

BTTS
Miss

Predicted No

Actual Yes

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

BBenfica crestBenficavsAVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC

Win probabilities

Strong favourite

Benfica win 79% · Open game

Benfica win
79%
Draw
15%
Académico Viseu FC win
6%
Benfica win %
79%

Predicted

Draw %
15%

Result

Académico Viseu FC win %
6%

Why this forecast

  1. 1Strong favourite: Benfica win 79%.
  2. 2Expected goals 2.70-0.69.
  3. 3Modal score 2-0 at 12%, the highest cell in the grid.
  4. 4Over 2.5 at 66%.
Elo

1802 — —

Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC

Liga Portugal table
Out

None listed

XI

Confirmed

4-2-3-1 / 4-3-3

Last 5

BenficaW D D W W2.52-1.16 xG

Académico Viseu FC—

Modal score

2-0

Highest cell in the score grid · 12% · Miss

Verdict

Strong favourite

Benfica win · 79% · Miss

Expected goals

2.70–0.69

Model λ for home and away

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Benfica versus Académico Viseu FC
Benfica goals012345
04%
18%7%2%
212%8%3%
311%8%3%
47%5%
54%3%

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %
66%

Over · 4 goals · Hit

BTTS %
47%

Yes · Miss

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Top scorelines

  1. 2-0Modal12.3%
  2. 3-011.1%
  3. 2-18.5%
  4. 1-08.2%
  5. 3-17.6%

Starting XI

Confirmed

SofaScore has confirmed both starting elevens.

BBenfica crestBenfica4-2-3-1

  1. 24Samuel SoaresG
  2. 2Clément LengletD
  3. 6Alexander BahD
  4. 26Samuel DahlD
  5. 44Tomás AraújoD
  6. 5Enzo BarrenecheaM
  7. 10Georgiy SudakovM
  8. 18Leandro BarreiroM
  9. 25Gianluca PrestianniM
  10. 27Rafa SilvaM
  11. 14Vangelis PavlidisF

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC4-3-3

  1. 98EwertonG
  2. 41Anthony CorreiaD
  3. 44Rúben PereiraD
  4. 66Igor MilioransaD
  5. 75RobinhoD
  6. 8Cihan KahramanM
  7. 14Soufiane MesseguemM
  8. 45Alejandro MestanzaM
  9. 10Álvaro ZamoraF
  10. 31João GuilhermeF
  11. 33André ClóvisF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

BBenfica crestBenficaW D D W W

  • A · Estoril Praia · 16 May 20263-14.15-1.52 xG
  • H · Sporting Braga · 11 May 20262-22.91-0.20 xG
  • A · Famalicão · 2 May 20262-21.29-1.58 xG
  • H · Moreirense · 25 Apr 20264-11.99-0.89 xG
  • A · Sporting CP · 19 Apr 20262-12.27-1.63 xG

AVAcadémico Viseu FC crestAcadémico Viseu FC—

No completed league matches before this cutoff.

How to read the Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC probabilities

Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC (Liga Portugal, 9 Aug 2026): Strong favourite — Benfica win 79%. Expected goals are 2.70–0.69. Modal score 2-0 (12%). The score grid leans over 2.5 goals and at least one side keeping a clean sheet. Final score: 2–2.

Benfica is clearly ahead on expected goals (2.70–0.69). Benfica win is 79% — still a probability, not a certainty.

The modal score 2-0 carries 12%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 sits at 66%, so the model expects an open game more often than not. BTTS is 47%, near even.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
9 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
v1.1.0-p1-elo
Verdict
Strong favourite · Benfica win
Kick-off
Sun 9 Aug, 20:30 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC

Who is favourite for Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC?

The verdict is Strong favourite. Highest 1X2 is Benfica win at 79%. Home 79%, draw 15%, away 6%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC?

2-0 is the modal scoreline at 12% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 66% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans over 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Benfica vs Académico Viseu FC?

BTTS is 47%. The grid leans toward at least one blank.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.

Related predictions

All Liga Portugal predictions