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La Liga · Round 2 · 2026/27

Getafe vs Real Racing Club Prediction

· Coliseum Alfonso Pérez · Getafe predictions · Real Racing Club predictions

Published · not rewritten after kick-off

Full timeRound 2 · 4/4 checks hit
GGetafe crest

Getafe

1–0

Getafe won

RRReal Racing Club crest

Real Racing Club

1X2

Getafe win

39%Hit

Verdict

Slight lean

Modal 1-0 · score hit

1X2 favourite
Hit

Predicted Getafe win · 39%

Actual Getafe won

Modal score
Hit

Predicted 1-0

Actual 1–0

Over 2.5
Hit

Predicted Under

Actual Under · 1 goals

BTTS
Hit

Predicted No

Actual No

Hit means the pre-match favourite (or the Over 2.5 / BTTS lean at 50%+) matched the result. The numbers above were stored before kick-off and are not edited afterwards.

GGetafe crestGetafevsRRReal Racing Club crestReal Racing Club

Win probabilities

Slight lean

Getafe win 39%

Getafe win
39%
Draw
31%
Real Racing Club win
30%
Getafe win %
39%

Predicted · Result

Draw %
31%
Real Racing Club win %
30%

Why this forecast

  1. 1Slight lean: Getafe win 39%.
  2. 2Expected goals 1.04-0.88.
  3. 3Modal score 1-0 at 15%, the highest cell in the grid.
  4. 4Kiko Femenía suspended and 3 other absences.
Elo

1479 — —

Getafe vs Real Racing Club

La Liga table
Out
  • Kiko Femenía · Getafe
  • Christantus Uche · Getafe
  • Pedro Felipe · Real Racing Club
XI

Confirmed

3-5-2 / 4-2-3-1

Last 5

GetafeW L W D L0.96-0.62 xG

Real Racing Club—

Modal score

1-0

Highest cell in the score grid · 15% · Hit

Verdict

Slight lean

Getafe win · 39% · Hit

Expected goals

1.04–0.88

Model λ for home and away

Score grid

Home goals down the side, away across. Lime is more likely. The modal cell is the peak.

Scoreline probabilities for Getafe versus Real Racing Club
Getafe goals012345
015%13%6%
115%13%6%
28%7%3%
33%2%
4
5

Away goals 0-5 across the top. Cells are a share of every possible score, not just this crop.

Markets from the score grid

Over 2.5 %
30%

Under · 1 goals · Hit

BTTS %
38%

No · Hit

Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score are summed from the same scoreline matrix as 1X2. They are not separate guesses.

Top scorelines

  1. 1-0ModalResult15.3%
  2. 0-014.5%
  3. 1-113.4%
  4. 0-112.9%
  5. 2-07.9%

Injuries and suspensions

SofaScore missing list for this fixture. Doubtful players are listed separately from those ruled out.

GGetafe crestGetafe

Out

  • Christantus Uche · F · Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Juanmi · F · Knee Injury

Suspended

  • Kiko Femenía · D · red card suspension

RRReal Racing Club crestReal Racing Club

Out

  • Pedro Felipe · D · Thigh Injury

Starting XI

Confirmed

SofaScore has confirmed both starting elevens.

GGetafe crestGetafe3-5-2

  1. 13David SoriaG
  2. 2DjenéD
  3. 4Saba SazonovD
  4. 24Zaid RomeroD
  5. 11Ramón TerratsM
  6. 16Francho SerranoM
  7. 21Andrés GarcíaM
  8. 22Johan MojicaM
  9. 23Orel MangalaM
  10. 10Martín SatrianoF
  11. 19Enes ÜnalF

RRReal Racing Club crestReal Racing Club4-2-3-1

  1. 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
  2. 2Alvaro MantillaD
  3. 4Manu HernandoD
  4. 5Pablo RamónD
  5. 17Jorge SalinasD
  6. 8Gustavo PuertaM
  7. 10Iñigo VicenteM
  8. 11Andrés MartínM
  9. 20Sergio CanalesM
  10. 36Sergio MartinezM
  11. 12Asier VillalibreF

Last five league matches

Finished games strictly before this forecast's cutoff, with xG for and against.

GGetafe crestGetafeW L W D L

  • H · Osasuna · 23 May 20261-00.27-0.51 xG
  • A · Elche · 17 May 20260-10.11-0.66 xG
  • H · Mallorca · 13 May 20263-11.58-0.41 xG
  • A · Real Oviedo · 10 May 20260-01.36-0.54 xG
  • H · Rayo Vallecano · 3 May 20260-21.49-0.98 xG

RRReal Racing Club crestReal Racing Club—

No completed league matches before this cutoff.

How to read the Getafe vs Real Racing Club probabilities

Getafe vs Real Racing Club (La Liga, 23 Aug 2026): Slight lean — Getafe win 39%. Expected goals are 1.04–0.88. Modal score 1-0 (15%). The score grid leans under 2.5 goals and at least one side keeping a clean sheet. Final score: 1–0.

Getafe and Real Racing Club are close on expected goals (1.04–0.88), so the 1X2 split is not a one-sided match.

The modal score 1-0 carries 15%. In football that is a typical peak: many nearby scorelines share the rest of the grid.

Over 2.5 is only 30%. The grid is tilted toward fewer than three goals. BTTS is 38%, so a clean sheet is in play.

Expected90 publishes probabilistic football forecasts based on statistical models. Predictions are not certainties.

Model record

Prediction timestamp
15 Aug 2026, 14:06 UTC
After kick-off
Not rewritten
Model version
la-v1.1.0-elo
Verdict
Slight lean · Getafe win
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug, 18:30 Lisbon
Methodology

Questions about Getafe vs Real Racing Club

Who is favourite for Getafe vs Real Racing Club?

The verdict is Slight lean. Highest 1X2 is Getafe win at 39%. Home 39%, draw 31%, away 30%. That is a share of similar matches, not a guaranteed result.

What is the most likely score for Getafe vs Real Racing Club?

1-0 is the modal scoreline at 15% — the highest cell in the score grid. Other nearby scores still take a large slice of the probability, which is normal in football.

Will Getafe vs Real Racing Club go over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 30% from the same Poisson grid as 1X2. The model leans under 2.5, but the other side remains live.

Both teams to score in Getafe vs Real Racing Club?

BTTS is 38%. The grid leans toward at least one blank.

Are these betting tips?

No. Expected90 publishes model probabilities and tracks them after kick-off. It does not sell tips, odds, or guaranteed outcomes.

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